Gains for Cameron and ECR allies all over Europe

18 November 2015, by Tobias Gerhard Schminke

Cameron and his ECR group in the European parliament would face a considerable increase in seats if there was a European parliament election tomorrow. The share of votes of the ECR would rise three points up to 12 percent, which would be the highest level for the conservative euro-sceptic parties since 1989. The euro-sceptic parties profit from their anti-liberal immigration policy in the refugee crises.

Jean-Claude Juncker’s EPP would lose the most votes due to the refugee crises. The group would lose 3.4 points and receive 26 per cent only. This is one point less than the centre-left S&D group. The losses of EPP and the 1.6 increase for the S&D would make Martin Schulz new head of the commission if he was the spitzenkandidat like in the 2014 election. Effectively his faction in parliament would outnumber Juncker’s faction by 5 out of 751 votes.

Global climate change and nuclear energy have not dominated the agenda in Europe at all for months. This has caused harm to the popular support for the green parties all over Europe. Since the 2014 election the G/EFA group drops from 6.8 to 4 per cent. It is the lowest support since 1979. Tsipras’ left wing GUE-NGL group would receive 8 per cent, which is a rise of 1.3 per cent and the strongest support for the far left since 1989. The liberal ALDE group would receive 10 per cent (+1.1 points).

UKIP and its allies would drop from 6.4 to 5 per cent. Le Pen’s right-wing ENF would receive 6 per cent. Other parties are at 2 per cent.

About the author

Tobias Gerhard Schminke

was editor-in-chief of Treffpunkturopa from 2016 to 2018. He is also the founder of @EuropeElects. He studies development studies in Halifax, Canada. Previously, he studied communication science and political science at the University of Haifa, Israel and at the Johannes-Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany.

Twitter : @EuropeElects

Your comments

pre-moderation

Warning, your message will only be displayed after it has been checked and approved.

Who are you?

Name

Email (not published)

To show your avatar with your message, register it first on gravatar.com (free et painless) and don’t forget to indicate your Email addresse here.

Enter your comment here

Text of your message

This form accepts SPIP shortcuts {{bold}} {italic} -*list [text->url] <quote> <code> and HTML code <q> <del> <ins>. To create paragraphs, just leave empty lines.

Notify me of new comments to this discussion by email

Follow the comments: |