March 29 is fast approaching. That means Brexit is getting less likely, not more - commentaires March 29 is fast approaching. That means Brexit is getting less likely, not more 2019-01-12T03:51:40Z https://www.taurillon.org/march-29-is-fast-approaching-that-means-brexit-is-getting-less-likely-not#comment23256 2019-01-12T03:51:40Z <p>This is where your argument fails : The European Union (Withdrawal) Act 2018 is law. Bar a further Act of Parliament, the UK is leaving the EU at 23 hours on 29th March 2019 - with or without a deal. That is the default position.</p> March 29 is fast approaching. That means Brexit is getting less likely, not more 2018-10-06T17:26:15Z https://www.taurillon.org/march-29-is-fast-approaching-that-means-brexit-is-getting-less-likely-not#comment23115 2018-10-06T17:26:15Z <p>This site has refused to believe that a referendum would be held, then that we would vote to leave and now that we will actually leave. Assume for a minute despite public outrage a new referendum was held (and that is the only way the 2016 result could be reversed). The EU would need to decide under what conditions the UK would remain, as we were in 2015, as was renegotiated in 2016 or something else. Certainly Remain could never win any contest that required the UK to join the euro, join Schengen, lose its rebate or any of the other exemptions we had. But despite that let's consider what would happen if Remain did win. The polls still show the result could go either way, a Remain win by 52% to 48% certainly would not resolve the matter. You would have a UK as a member that would face ferocious anger and resistance at home regarding any extension of the EU in terms of politics (so all plans for further integration are over, unless yet more exemptions are granted) Result, paralysis. The reality you have to accept is that the genie is out of the bottle and it is better for both sides that fruitless attempts to stuff it back in are abandoned and instead a new reasonable arrangement is reached simply on trade. The UK never had the emotional attachment to the EU that is found on the continent and for that reason alone Brexit is inevitable.</p> March 29 is fast approaching. That means Brexit is getting less likely, not more 2018-10-06T10:07:08Z https://www.taurillon.org/march-29-is-fast-approaching-that-means-brexit-is-getting-less-likely-not#comment23114 2018-10-06T10:07:08Z <p>« Theresa May still hasn't got her deal through the Parliament. She doesn't even have the deal. »</p> <p>The first thing is because of the second.</p> <p>Negotiatoins are still ongoing. Don't you look in the press, on TV or online ?</p> <p>As for « Brexit is getting less likely », you wish. We're out, and you would not want to keep us in.</p>